On October 31, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei received Iran's three senior military commanders and ordered that any threat be met with an immediate response "without geographical limitation." He also directed that the armed forces' target bank be updated so that all material and non-material assets of the United States and Israel fall within range, and said Iran would decide when and on what terms any renewed fighting ends. The report judges this the sharpest Iranian threat language to date. It came three days before the U.S. midterm elections and after reports of a Pentagon option for a three-day strike campaign. A same-day anniversary message calls the current conflict "the third imposed war." We assess that the orders set the public baseline for Iran's response to any post-election U.S. strike. An Iran Dossier special report for October 31, 2026.
The Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council met the Leader, and the next morning six Iranian front pages printed the same sentence: that Iran's conditions are to be pursued with the aim of ending the war and ending the "neither war, nor peace" condition. One cycle ago a principlist front page was denouncing that formula as a miscalculation. In the same readout the Leader named the management of the Strait of Hormuz and the use of Article 176 of the constitution, and on the same morning the government's paper reported the President raising the Strait with the Emir of Qatar and the Gulf waterway authority warning a named shipping line of legal action from 1 November. An exit is being opened and the chokepoint is being kept, and not one condition has been published. A wider read of 27 publications, added later in the day, finds the exit formula leading most of the press, a count of "seven conditions" with no list attached, Kayhan turning its fire from the security council to Riyadh, the Leader's ideological organs preparing the public for another round, and a cleric's letter in Kayhan asking for a review of the fatwa against weapons of mass destruction.