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Security & Military

Iran's Multi-Theater Retaliation and What It Means for Israel

Tehran's most dangerous weapon is not a missile - it is a message, and it is aimed directly at Trump's base.

March 3, 2026

Analysis

Iran After the Elimination of Supreme Leader Khamenei

As Tehran strikes U.S. and Israeli strategic sites, the regime faces deepening regional isolation and a critical dependence on China and Russia to survive its most profound internal and external challenge

March 1, 2026

Analysis

Iran’s "Chicken Maneuver" and the Marginalization of Internal Dissent

Tehran executes a high-stakes "Chicken Maneuver," betting that aggressive maritime threats and strategic resolve will force Washington into a favorable, "deal-oriented" retreat. Despite claims of victory over January’s "fitna," renewed university protests and President Trump’s li

February 22, 2026

Internal Affairs

Iran Signals Escalation Readiness While Testing the U.S.–Israel Alliance

Iran’s leadership is framing Netanyahu’s U.S. talks—especially meetings with Trump—as a deliberate pressure play, while signaling an effort to drive a wedge between Washington and Jerusalem. In parallel, Tehran pairs renewed confrontation messaging (missiles/retaliation threats)

February 13, 2026

Security & Military

IRAN WEEKLY UPDATE — Diplomacy, Military Posture, and Internal Security

Iran is pairing Muscat-centered diplomacy with region-wide mediation to avert a strike, while warning that any U.S. action will trigger a costly, theater-wide response and showcasing deterrence capabilities

February 8, 2026

Internal Affairs

Inside the IRGC’s "Hybrid" Playbook for Silencing Dissent

The SAS (سازمان اطلاعات سپاه) has launched a multi-dimensional "hybrid" crackdown focused on digital infiltration, cognitive manipulation, and the use of double agents to dismantle protest networks.

January 24, 2026

Internal Affairs

Iran’s Priority: Regime Survival at Any Cost

Coercion, Control, and Deterrence: Iran’s Strategy to Withstand Internal Unrest and External Threats

January 22, 2026

Internal Affairs

Tehran’s Containment Strategy: Managing Domestic Unrest and Deterring a U.S./Israeli Strike

Iran is threatening regional escalation to deter a U.S./Israeli strike, warning neighbors they will be treated as combatants. At home, it is crushing protests via a total blackout and framing unrest as foreign terrorism to justify repression.

January 14, 2026

Internal Affairs

Tehran Signals Escalating Repression Despite US Warning Lines

The regime’s priority is survival: it is likely to intensify coercion while managing optics and blame to reduce the risk of a US-Israel intervention trigger.

January 11, 2026

Internal Affairs

Rasht Erupts: Night of Fire, Mass Protest, and Deadly Crackdown

From Chants to Confrontation: Rasht’s Escalation May Mark a New Phase in the Ongoing Protest Movement.

January 10, 2026

Internal Affairs

Iran Protest: Regime Delegitimization and Crackdown Preparations

Iran’s media has branded protesters as foreign-backed terrorists to justify a crackdown. Tehran’s prosecutor is invoking moharebeh (a death-eligible charge)

January 9, 2026

Security & Military

Iran’s No-Compromise Response to Protests and Implications for Israel

The Iranian regime will not hesitate to apply maximum coercive power to suppress the protest

January 6, 2026

Analysis

Neo-Nationalism in Iran: A Strategic Response to Defeat and a Double-Edged Sword

Iran turns war losses into nationalist revival, yet awakened civic identity could undermine clerical rule long-term.

July 15, 2025

Internal Affairs

Iranian Media Celebrate ‘Victory’ as Public Sentiment Remains Divided

State victory propaganda dominates headlines, yet beneath the surface, hopes for reform, freedom, and justice challenge the regime’s triumphant narrative.

June 25, 2025

Internal Affairs

Iran, O House of Hope": Shajarian’s Anthem Resurrected Amid War and Propaganda

Iran’s popular song ignites hope and tension, yearning for freedom, while the regime uses it as propaganda to grip control.

June 25, 2025

Internal Affairs

Iranian Diplomatic Offensive Driven by Regime Survival Concerns

Diplomacy, solidarity, and strategic restraint: Iran’s survival hinges on averting escalation and safeguarding its regime.

June 23, 2025

Internal Affairs

Breaking the System: Israel’s Strikes and Iran’s Crisis of Control

System Under Siege: Can the Islamic Republic Survive the Dual Pressure?

June 19, 2025

Internal Affairs

Khamenei Hails IRGC, Vows to Expel America from Region

Without the IRGC, there would be no country.

August 17, 2023

Human Rights

Iranian Women Defiant Ahead of Mahsa Amini Anniversary: Potential for Massive Protests Amid Morality

"We are not afraid of the morality police."

July 27, 2023

Analysis

Reformists Warn of "Self-Destruction" as Conservatives Consolidate Power

Iran "moves towards self-destruction."

June 28, 2023

Security & Military

Iran's new police chief in Russia.

Notorious chief police force to visit Russia

June 27, 2023

Human Rights

Students Unite in Solidarity Against Forced Hijab Rules and Persecution

Students unite to support persecuted peers at Tehran's Art University.

June 20, 2023

Internal Affairs

2 IRGC Security Guards killed in Kermanshah

The public relations department of the Hazrat Nabi Akram Corps, affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in...

June 16, 2023

Human Rights

Iranian Security Forces Desecrate Executed Protester's Grave on His Birthday

Iranian security forces set fire to a grave

June 9, 2023

Human Rights

Labor Activist Sentenced to Five Years; Union Calls for Suspension of Sentence

Judiciary punishing individuals for advocating rightful demands

June 9, 2023

Analysis

Iran Expresses Concern and Implicit Threats Over Azerbaijan-Israel Relations

Some elements in Baku have blundered in establishing diplomatic ties with the illegal Zionist entity

June 7, 2023

Internal Affairs

Leader Emphasizes the Need for Determination in Preserving Khomeini's Legacy Against Adversaries

Opposing forces, namely Arrogance, Zionism, and aggressive powers, remain the same.

June 5, 2023

© 2026 Iran Dossier. Analysis on Iran for decision-makers and researchers.

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